即將發生的經濟事件 26 年 2024 月 XNUMX 日

時間(GMT+0/UTC+0)	州	重要性	活動	預測	前一頁
05:00		2點	日本央行核心消費者物價指數（年比）	1.8%	1.7%
10:00		2點	歐洲央行麥考爾講話	---	---
13:00		2點	建築許可證（十月）	1.416M	1.425M
14:00		2點	S&P/CS HPI 綜合指數 – 20 n.s.a. （同比）（九月）	5.1%	5.2%
14:00		2點	S&P/CS HPI 綜合指數 – 20 n.s.a. (環比) (九月)	---	-0.3％
15:00		3點	CB 消費者信心（XNUMX 月）	112.0	108.7
15:00		2點	新屋銷售（環比）（十月）	---	4.1%
15:00		3點	新屋銷售（十月）	724K	738K
18:00		2點	5年期票據拍賣	---	4.138%
19:00		3點	聯邦公開市場委員會會議紀要	---	---
21:30		2點	API每周原油庫存	---	4.753M

26 年 2024 月 XNUMX 日經濟事件摘要

1. 日本央行核心消費者物價指數（年比）（世界標準時間 05:00）：
   • 預測： 1.8％， 以前： 1.7％。
     This indicator measures core inflation for Japan. A higher-than-expected reading would signal increasing inflationary pressures, potentially supporting the JPY by increasing speculation about a shift in BoJ policy.
2. 歐洲央行麥考爾演講（世界標準時間 10:00）：
   Remarks from ECB Supervisory Board Member Edouard Fernandez-Bollo McCaul may offer insights into financial stability or monetary policy. Hawkish comments would support the EUR, while dovish remarks might weaken it.
3. US Building Permits (Oct) (13:00 UTC):
   • 預測： 1.416M， 以前： 1.425M。
     Building permits serve as a leading indicator of construction activity. A lower reading may signal slowing growth in the housing sector, potentially softening the USD.
4. US S&P/CS HPI Composite – 20 (Sep) (14:00 UTC):
   • YoY Forecast: 5.1％， 以前： 5.2％。
   • MoM Previous: -0.3％。
     This index tracks home prices in 20 major US cities. Declines in prices would signal cooling housing demand, potentially weighing on the USD, while stronger figures would indicate resilience in the housing market.
5. US CB Consumer Confidence (Nov) (15:00 UTC):
   • 預測： 112.0， 以前： 108.7. 根據法律、法規的要求、強製性的行政執法或司法要求所；
     A higher reading indicates greater consumer optimism, supporting the USD by suggesting stronger consumer spending. A decline could weigh on the currency.
6. US New Home Sales (Oct) (15:00 UTC):
   • MoM Previous: 4.1％。
   • Sales Forecast: 724K， 以前： 738K。
     A decline in sales would indicate weaker housing demand, potentially pressuring the USD. Stronger data would suggest economic resilience, supporting the currency.
7. 美國 5 年期公債拍賣（世界標準時間 18:00）：
   • 以前的產量： 4.138％。
     Rising yields signal higher inflation expectations or risk premiums, supporting the USD. Lower yields may indicate reduced demand for US debt, softening the currency.
8. FOMC 會議紀錄（世界標準時間 19:00）：
   Detailed minutes from the latest Federal Reserve meeting may provide further insights into the Fed’s policy outlook. Hawkish signals would support the USD, while dovish tones could weaken it.
9. API 每週原油庫存（世界標準時間 21:30）：
   • 以前： 4.753M。
     A larger-than-expected inventory build would signal weaker demand, pressuring oil prices. A drawdown would indicate stronger demand, supporting oil prices and commodity-linked currencies.

市場影響分析

• 日本央行核心消費者物價指數：
  A higher-than-expected CPI reading would support the JPY, increasing speculation about potential monetary policy adjustments by the Bank of Japan. A lower reading may reinforce the BoJ’s dovish stance, weighing on the currency.
• 歐洲央行麥考爾演講：
  Hawkish comments would support the EUR by signaling a commitment to combating inflation. Dovish remarks would indicate caution, potentially weighing on the EUR.
• US Housing Data (Building Permits, Home Sales, S&P/CS HPI):
  Positive readings would indicate resilience in the housing market, supporting the USD. Weak data may signal cooling economic activity, potentially softening the currency.
• 美國CB消費者信心：
  Higher confidence would suggest stronger consumer spending and economic resilience, supporting the USD. Lower-than-expected confidence would weigh on the currency.
• US FOMC Meeting Minutes:
  Hawkish minutes signaling concerns about inflation or additional rate hikes would support the USD. Dovish minutes indicating caution or rate pause considerations could soften the currency.
• API原油庫存：
  A large inventory build would suggest weaker demand, pressuring oil prices. A drawdown would indicate tightening supply, supporting oil prices and energy-linked currencies.

整體影響

揮發性：
High, with significant data on US housing, consumer confidence, and FOMC meeting minutes shaping expectations for growth, inflation, and monetary policy.

影響分數： 7/10, driven by key housing data, consumer sentiment, and insights from FOMC minutes, alongside oil inventory data influencing energy markets.